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The Won Briefs

Browns Trade Myles Garrett to Rams for Jared Verse and Draft Picks

June 1, 2026 1:17 pm · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: The recent trade of Myles Garrett from the Browns to the Rams has significantly impacted betting markets, particularly in Super Bowl odds. The Rams saw their odds improve from +800 to +650 at DraftKings, reflecting a surge in confidence among bettors, as evidenced by a jump in prediction market interest from 10.5% to around 18% on Kalshi. This trade not only strengthens the Rams' defensive line but also positions them as serious contenders, overshadowing the Seahawks, who are now at 9%. Conversely, the Browns, while gaining promising rookie Jared Verse and future draft picks, may see their odds drop as they navigate the AFC North without Garrett, a player who posed a consistent threat. Circa Sports adjusted the Rams’ odds for the NFC and NFC West, indicating a market response to their strengthened roster. As the Browns focus on building a young core and addressing their quarterback situation, the absence of Garrett could lead to increased odds for other AFC North teams, as they no longer face one of the league's elite pass rushers twice a season. Bettors should monitor these shifting dynamics closely, as the implications of this trade ripple through the league, potentially affecting matchups and overall team performance in the coming season.
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Tuley’s Takes: Early Bets for NFL Week 1

May 26, 2026 7:39 pm · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: As the NFL's Week 1 approaches, early betting lines have shown notable movement, particularly with the Seattle Seahawks opening at -4.5 against the New England Patriots and subsequently rising to -5.5. This shift indicates early confidence in the Seahawks, likely influenced by their recent Super Bowl victory over the Patriots. However, bettors should be cautious, as these numbers are considered "dead" betting lines, suggesting that the market may stabilize without significant movement before the season starts. Expert sentiment leans towards waiting for more clarity on injuries and team dynamics, as many believe that the lines will remain stable until closer to kickoff. Notably, the general consensus among seasoned bettors is to act as investors rather than traditional handicappers, focusing on line movements rather than just game outcomes. This strategy emphasizes the importance of securing favorable odds before they potentially shift further. For those considering wagers, it may be prudent to hold off on most bets until the week of the games, especially for matchups like the Seahawks vs. Patriots, where the initial excitement may not translate into long-term value. Overall, while the anticipation for NFL action is palpable, the best approach may be to monitor line movements and contextual factors leading up to the games for more informed betting decisions.
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Matt Youmans: First 2027 Super Bowl Futures Wager

May 20, 2026 9:24 am · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: Matt Youmans' analysis of the Kansas City Chiefs' Super Bowl futures highlights an intriguing betting opportunity as the team currently sits at 15-1 odds, tied for fifth among contenders. This positioning reflects a potential buy-low scenario following a disappointing 6-11 season, largely attributed to Patrick Mahomes' season-ending knee injury. With reports indicating that Mahomes is ahead of schedule in his recovery, there is optimism surrounding his return for the season opener against the Broncos. However, bettors should temper expectations regarding his immediate performance, as it may take time for him to regain his elite form. The Chiefs have bolstered their roster with key offseason acquisitions, including running back Kenneth Walker and safety Alohi Gilman, which could enhance their overall competitiveness. Historically, Kansas City has dominated the AFC West, and with a favorable early schedule, they could quickly establish momentum. The team's ability to bounce back hinges on improved performance across the board, particularly in the pass rush. Given the current odds and the potential for a resurgence, wagering on the Chiefs could yield favorable returns if Mahomes can effectively transition back to full-contact play and the team capitalizes on its offseason improvements.
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Circa Survivor, Circa Million, Circa Grandissimo Contest Guarantees Announced by Derek Stevens on VSiN

May 19, 2026 8:10 pm · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: The announcement of a combined $30 million guaranteed prize pool for the Circa Survivor, Circa Million VIII, and Circa Grandissimo contests has generated significant buzz among bettors, indicating a strong interest that could influence entry volume and prize distribution. The Circa Survivor's increased guarantee to $20 million, up from $15 million last year, suggests confidence in participant engagement, especially given last year's total prize pool exceeded expectations at nearly $18.7 million. The ability for contestants to enter up to 10 times, with the option to rebuy after early losses, enhances the competitive landscape and could lead to a larger field, further pushing the prize pool beyond the guarantee. Additionally, the unique scheduling of the Thanksgiving and Christmas "Weeks," which feature multiple games, adds strategic complexity to the contest, as players must navigate team usage carefully. Expert sentiment around these contests remains positive, with many anticipating a robust turnout that could lead to substantial payouts. Bettors should consider the historical performance of past winners and the impact of these new rules on overall strategy, particularly as the contests approach their deadlines. The rake-free structure also means that every dollar collected directly contributes to the prize pool, making this a potentially lucrative opportunity for savvy participants.
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2025-2026 NHL Betting Recap

June 15, 2026 2:40 pm · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: The 2025-2026 NHL season concluded with the Carolina Hurricanes winning their first Stanley Cup in two decades, showcasing a remarkable playoff performance with a 16-3 record, second only to the legendary 1988 Edmonton Oilers. This success highlights the importance of evaluating team momentum and playoff form when placing future bets. Notably, Jordan Staal's Conn Smythe Trophy win at 100/1 odds underscores the potential value in betting on individual player performances during the postseason, especially when they align with team success. Looking back at pre-season predictions, several key insights emerge: the Colorado Avalanche exceeding 103.5 points and the Dallas Stars' Jason Robertson surpassing 80.5 points were successful wagers, while the Nashville Predators and Winnipeg Jets missing the playoffs were also profitable outcomes. Conversely, some bets, such as the Tampa Bay Lightning leading in goals scored and the Boston Bruins finishing under 80.5 points, fell short. This season's trends suggest that teams with strong playoff histories and individual players who can consistently perform under pressure are worth considering for future wagers. Additionally, the betting landscape can shift dramatically based on team injuries, trades, and mid-season performances, making it crucial for bettors to stay informed and adjust their strategies accordingly. As the next season approaches, analyzing these factors will be essential for making informed betting decisions.
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Game 6 Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: NHL Expert Picks and Player Props for Sunday, June 14

June 14, 2026 2:13 am · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: In Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Final, the Carolina Hurricanes are positioned as slight favorites at -115 against the Vegas Golden Knights at -105, with a total set at 5.5 goals. The Hurricanes are one win away from their first championship in two decades, having consistently scored four or more goals in every game of the series. This trend, coupled with Vegas's recent struggles—failing to score at least three goals in Game 5—suggests a strong likelihood of a high-scoring affair, making the Over 5.5 an appealing wager. Expert sentiment leans towards both teams alternating on the puck line while hitting the Over on total goals, reflecting confidence in offensive output. Player props are also noteworthy; Jordan Staal has been a standout, scoring in all five games and consistently hitting his shots on goal mark, while Taylor Hall has also maintained a solid performance. For Vegas, Brett Howden, who leads the playoffs in goals, is a strong candidate for an anytime goal, especially after a rare scoreless outing. Additionally, Carter Hart's under on saves (26.5) is worth considering, given that he has gone under this total in four of the five games, particularly if the Hurricanes jump to an early lead. Overall, the combination of team trends and player performances suggests a high-scoring game with potential for profitable player props.
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Game 5 Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: NHL Expert Picks and Player Props for Thursday, June 11

June 11, 2026 7:35 am · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: In Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final, the odds reflect a competitive matchup with the Carolina Hurricanes favored at -150 against the Vegas Golden Knights at +126. The total has shifted to 6, indicating a trend towards higher scoring after the first four games saw a surprising 36 goals, well above the pre-series projections. The Hurricanes have demonstrated resilience, winning 14 consecutive games following a loss, while the Golden Knights have shown strong performance in odd-numbered playoff games. With both teams consistently scoring three or more goals, betting on both teams to score 3+ goals at +200 offers enticing value. Player props are also worth considering; Jordan Staal has scored in each game of the series and is available at +400 for another goal, alongside a favorable assist prop at +265. Additionally, with both teams regularly surpassing the shot on goal threshold, Staal's over 1.5 shots on goal at -145 is a solid wager. The volatility of the series, characterized by blown leads and high-scoring affairs, suggests that overs and team scoring props may yield profitable returns, making this an intriguing betting landscape for Game 5.
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Updated NHL Conn Smythe Trophy Best Bets

June 10, 2026 6:36 am · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: As the Stanley Cup Final shifts to a best-of-three format, the betting landscape for the Conn Smythe Trophy is evolving, particularly following Carolina's recent victory. Jordan Staal's impressive performance, scoring in every game thus far and leading the series with five goals, has seen his odds plummet from 175/1 to 6/1, making him a compelling option given his current form. However, he trails behind team leaders Taylor Hall and Jackson Blake in total postseason points, which complicates his candidacy. Meanwhile, Mitch Marner remains the favorite at -105, bolstered by his commanding lead in overall scoring, but the value in his odds has diminished with the series tied and Carolina holding home-ice advantage. For those looking at alternative bets, Brett Howden of the Golden Knights, currently at 100/1, presents an enticing opportunity, especially considering his playoff-leading 14 goals and multiple game-winners. Additionally, Shea Theodore, with solid playoff stats at 250/1, could be a worthwhile long-shot wager. Given the current dynamics and the potential for a series shift, betting on Vegas to win the series at +126 appears to be a strategic move, especially with their key players in strong form.
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MLB Picks Today: Greg Peterson Best Bets Wednesday, June 17

June 16, 2026 7:58 pm · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: In today's MLB matchups, several betting insights emerge from key pitching performances and team trends. The Miami Marlins, with Sandy Alcantara's solid 4.25 ERA and a strong bullpen, are favored against the struggling Philadelphia Phillies, whose Andrew Painter has a concerning 6.43 ERA. The Marlins' moneyline at +104 presents value, especially given the Phillies' low scoring average. In the Tigers vs. Astros game, Casey Mize's impressive 2.27 ERA suggests a low-scoring affair, making the under 8.5 runs a prudent bet, particularly against an Astros lineup that has struggled to score. The Angels and Diamondbacks game features Eduardo Rodriguez, whose 2.55 ERA may not hold up under scrutiny, while the Angels' potent offense could push the total over 9 runs. Lastly, the Red Sox's Jake Bennett faces a Blue Jays lineup led by a faltering Max Scherzer, making the Red Sox moneyline at -120 an appealing option given their strong bullpen support. Overall, focusing on pitcher form, team scoring trends, and bullpen effectiveness will be crucial for making informed wagers today.
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Steve Makinen’s MLB Picks from Betting Splits and Systems for Tuesday, June 16

June 16, 2026 12:37 pm · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: For MLB betting on June 16, 2026, key insights reveal actionable trends and system matches that could influence wagering decisions. Notably, small favorites in the -111 to -126 range with a superior bullpen rating have shown a strong historical performance, boasting a record of 123-72 and a +19.1% ROI, making the New York Mets at -125 against Cincinnati a compelling play. Additionally, the Boston Red Sox at -102 against Toronto benefit from a favorable trend, as underdogs in their rivalry have gone 28-15, yielding a 47.8% ROI. The New York Yankees, favored at -144 against the Chicago White Sox, also present a solid betting opportunity, as Gerrit Cole's teams have excelled against AL Central opponents, posting a 35-7 record in recent seasons. Conversely, the Milwaukee Brewers at -157 against Cleveland should be approached with caution; teams with poor bullpens and struggling starting pitchers have historically underperformed, leading to a fade recommendation. The overall performance of teams with better bullpen and starting pitcher ratings remains a foundational angle, with a two-year record of 396-266 for +83.41 units, although current season metrics indicate a slight downturn. Bettors should weigh these trends and system matches carefully to enhance their wagering strategies.
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Best MLB Player Props Today (June 16, 2026): Picks & Predictions

June 16, 2026 12:26 pm · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: For June 16, 2026, betting insights on MLB player props suggest several promising opportunities based on current trends and matchups. Gerrit Cole's strikeout prop of over 5.5 at -116 appears favorable against the White Sox, who have the third-highest strikeout rate in the league at 23.8%. Despite Cole's inconsistent performance this season, the matchup against a team that struggles with whiffs (27.9% whiff rate) could lead to a significant strikeout night for him. Meanwhile, Juan Soto's over 1.5 total bases at -110 against the Reds is appealing, especially given Brady Singer's 5.61 ERA and Soto's history of success against him, hitting .400 in their matchups. Soto's average of 1.9 total bases per game against right-handers further supports this bet. Lastly, Logan Gilbert's over 6.5 strikeouts at -125 is intriguing, as he recently posted eight strikeouts against the Mets, though he typically averages 5.9. The Orioles' lineup could provide a favorable environment for Gilbert to exceed expectations. Overall, these player props reflect a combination of favorable matchups, historical performance, and current form, making them solid targets for bettors looking to capitalize on the day's slate.
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Top Picks from the MLB Betting Splits for Tuesday June 16th

June 16, 2026 11:50 am · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: In today's MLB matchups, sharp money is significantly favoring the Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves, indicating strong betting sentiment. The Nationals opened as -125 favorites against the Kansas City Royals and have since moved to -140, backed by 77% of moneyline bets and an overwhelming 98% of moneyline dollars at DraftKings. This trend is supported by historical data showing that home favorites off a win priced at -155 or less have a solid 62% success rate this season. The Royals are struggling, particularly with starter Michael Wacha, who has a 7.33 ERA in his last three outings, contributing to Kansas City's 0-6 record in his recent starts. In the Braves' matchup against the San Francisco Giants, the line has shifted from -150 to -170 as Atlanta garners significant betting support, despite their recent loss to the Mets. The Braves' Grant Holmes has been effective with a 4.05 ERA, while the Giants' Adrian Houser has struggled with a 5.54 ERA. Overall, the trends favor the Nationals and Braves as they both look to capitalize on their home-field advantage and capitalize on opposing pitchers' struggles, making them strong candidates for bettors looking for value in today's slate.
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2026-27 NBA Championship Odds: Best Bets On The Board Early

June 14, 2026 2:11 am · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: As we look ahead to the 2026-27 NBA season, the early championship odds reveal intriguing opportunities for bettors. The San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder lead the pack at +250, reflecting their strong playoff performances, while the New York Knicks at +700 also show promise after their recent Finals appearance. Notably, the Indiana Pacers present significant value at 28-1, especially following their acquisition of Ivica Zubac, who, despite a challenging season, has the potential to elevate their defensive capabilities. If Tyrese Haliburton can return to form after his Achilles injury, the Pacers could emerge as a formidable contender. The odds movement indicates a growing sentiment around teams actively pursuing star players, which could further shift the landscape as the offseason unfolds. Bettors should monitor any major trades or injuries closely, as these factors will heavily influence team dynamics and overall performance. With the uncertainty of player movements and the potential for teams to strengthen their rosters, spreading bets across several teams, particularly those with promising young cores or recent playoff experience, may yield favorable returns.
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Knicks End 53-Year Wait . . . Who’s Got Next?

June 14, 2026 12:36 am · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: The Knicks' unexpected championship run has shifted the betting landscape, with New York's triumph over the Spurs marking a significant narrative shift for next season's odds. Opening as co-favorites at +250 alongside Oklahoma City, the Spurs' resilience in the Finals—leading in the final minutes of each game—suggests they remain a formidable force despite the loss. The Knicks' remarkable turnaround, winning 15 of their last 16 games, highlights their momentum and the emergence of Jalen Brunson as a clutch performer, evidenced by his 45-point Finals MVP performance. Bettors should note that New York's ability to overcome significant deficits throughout the playoffs, including a 29-point comeback in Game 4, indicates a tenacity that could translate into future betting value. Additionally, the coaching prowess of Mike Brown has been pivotal, enhancing the Knicks' appeal as a potential repeat contender. As the offseason progresses, monitoring player movements and injury reports will be crucial, especially with the Spurs missing key players like William Karlsson in the NHL Finals, which could influence cross-sport betting dynamics. Overall, the Knicks' historic win and the Spurs' near-misses set the stage for an intriguing betting season ahead, where narratives of resilience and underdog triumph will be at the forefront.
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Steve Makinen’s NBA Betting Trends and Best Bets for Knicks vs. Spurs Game 5, Saturday, June 13

June 12, 2026 12:31 pm · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: In the upcoming Game 5 between the Knicks and Spurs, several betting insights emerge that could influence wagering decisions. The Knicks are currently listed as +5.5 underdogs, a line that reflects their struggles as a #2 seed, historically posting a poor 41.5% ATS record in NBA Finals since 2014. Conversely, home favorites of 4.5 points or more have a solid 64.9% ATS success rate in this context, favoring the Spurs. Notably, teams shooting 46% or better from three have struggled in subsequent games, with a dismal 9.1% ATS record since 2016, suggesting that the Knicks' recent strong shooting may not carry over. Additionally, the trend of home teams on two days' rest performing well against opponents with extended breaks (3+ days) supports a potential over on the total points, currently set at 216.5. However, the overall trend in the NBA Finals leans towards the under, with a 69.6% success rate in the last 47 games. Given these factors, betting on the Spurs to cover and considering an over bet could be prudent, while also keeping an eye on the Knicks' ability to defy historical trends as they seek to capitalize on their late-series performance, which has shown promise for lower-seeded teams.
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Knicks vs. Spurs Game 5 Pick: 2025-26 NBA Finals Predictions and Odds

June 12, 2026 12:04 am · vsin.com
AI Expert Analysis: In the upcoming Game 5 of the NBA Finals, the San Antonio Spurs are facing significant pressure after their historic collapse in Game 4, where they squandered a 29-point lead against the New York Knicks. The odds reflect this tension, with the Spurs favored at -198 on the moneyline and a spread of -5.5, indicating that bookmakers still see potential in San Antonio despite recent struggles. Expert sentiment is mixed; while many believe the Knicks have seized momentum, the Spurs' home-court advantage and the urgency to respond could lead to a strong performance. Notably, De'Aaron Fox's recent decision-making has come under scrutiny, particularly his tendency to rely on jump shots rather than attacking the basket. This could be a critical factor, as the Knicks have shown resilience in capitalizing on opponent mistakes. Additionally, the total set at 216.5 suggests a potential for a lower-scoring game, especially if the Spurs tighten their defense after the second-half breakdown in Game 4. Contextually, the psychological impact of their previous loss may weigh heavily on San Antonio, but if they can channel their frustration into a focused effort, they could still turn the series around. Bettors should consider these dynamics carefully, as the outcome hinges on whether the Spurs can regroup effectively or if the Knicks will continue their upward trajectory.
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September 10, 2026 7:35 pm
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